AL West: Hapless in Seattle
Baseball Betting Lines
06/01/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The good news is the Seattle Mariners have been able to
score some runs here and there.
The bad news is they enter play Tuesday cemented in last place in the American
League West, eight games back of the first-place Oakland Athletics. Seattle is
also 5 1/2 games behind the third-place Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim.
The Mariners are no doubt happy to turn the page on May, a month that began
with a six-game losing streak and ended with three straight defeats. Those
three straight losses have underscored the fact that Seattle has managed to
score at least four runs in five of its last six games. Of course, with
interleague play set to begin next weekend, the M's pitchers will now be
taking their hacks as part of baseball's least intimidating lineup.
Manager Don Wakamatsu sent a message with a bullpen shakeup following Monday's
5-4 loss to the Minnesota Twins. Relievers Kanekoa Texeira (5.30 ERA) and
Jesus Colome (5.29) were designated for assignment after both had some major
control issues in Sunday's 9-7 loss to the Angels. In their place, the team
recalled left-hander Garrett Olson and right-hander Sean White from Triple-A
Tacoma.
The move gives Wakamatsu added flexibility with a bullpen that has been
stretched thin. According to a report on the team's website, the M's bypassed
Triple-A prospects Luke French (1.76 ERA) and Steven Shell (3.00) so they
could continue their development as starters rather than be thrust into a big
league bullpen role.
In terms of the lineup, Wakamatsu has stopped relying on Ken Griffey Jr.
(.184) and Casey Kotchman (.192) in everyday roles, instead giving more
opportunities to Mike Sweeney (6 HR) and Michael Saunders. After only two
months of play, it seems the M's manager has tried just about everything to
jumpstart his team. Still, he's not about to give up now.
"Sometimes guys get to a point where they're pressing so much that they just
give up," Wakamatsu told the Seattle Times. "And all of a sudden, there's a
freedom in that. Where you stop the pressing."
NO CAUSE FOR CELEBRATION IN ANAHEIM
The mob-scene celebrations at home plate following a walk-off home run have
become commonplace these days in Major League Baseball. But that has begun to
change after Angels' star first baseman Kendry Morales broke his ankle in one
of those celebratory scrums following his walk-off grand slam against Seattle
on Saturday.
Morales was leading the team in batting average (.290), home runs (11), total
bases (94) and RBI (39). He was expected to undergo surgery on Sunday, but
that procedure was pushed back a week because of a high level of swelling in
his fractured left ankle. He will be out of the lineup indefinitely.
"When you lose a player of Kendry's status, much like when we lost Torii
Hunter and Vlad Guerrero last year, the players around them have to play at a
certain level to absorb and create the production," manager Mike Scioscia
said.
On Sunday, less than 24 hours after Morales' freak injury, Howard Kendrick
belted a walk-off home run in a 9-7 win against the Mariners. This time
around, Scioscia had put in place some guidelines for post-game celebrations.
There was still a celebration at the plate, but the players waited on the
grass, and there was no wild pileup.
"We were just trying to be careful that time," Hunter said. "When I saw
(Kendrick) hit the home run, I saw him running around the bases and I saw
everybody running out. I'm like, 'Calm down! Calm down! Wait, let him touch
the plate.' And I was screaming, 'Two-jump minimum!'"
RANGERS TRYING TO STOP THE BLEEDING
Thanks to a four-game skid, the Texas Rangers (26-24) have lost their grip on
the AL West lead. But that's not all they've lost.
Adding to the team's frustration is the addition of starting pitcher Derek
Holland to the disabled list with a mild case of left rotator cuff
inflammation. Holland (2-1, 4.19), who exited Sunday's start after 43 pitches,
is expected to be shut down for about a week before he begins throwing again.
According to assistant general manager Thad Levine, the team will likely bring
up Triple-A reliever Pedro Strop until Saturday, when a starter will be called
up to fill Holland's spot in the rotation. That call is expected to go to
right-hander Tommy Hunter, although he struggled in Monday's start for
Oklahoma City, allowing five runs on 10 hits in five innings of work. Hunter
is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA in six starts with Oklahoma City this season.
In other injury news, right fielder Nelson Cruz was sent to the DL on Saturday
with a torn left hamstring. He is eligible to return June 13, at which time
the team hopes he can rejoin the lineup. The Rangers can ill-afford an
extended period without Cruz, who was hitting .327 with 10 homers and 34 RBI
in 32 games. The injury occurred while he was legging out a ground ball
against the Royals on Wednesday. He was already on the DL this season from
April 27-May 14 with a strained right hamstring.
A'S MISSING PRODUCTION FROM LEFT SIDE OF INFIELD
The Oakland Athletics (28-24) hold a slim one-game lead atop the AL West,
despite very little production lately from third baseman Kevin Kouzmanoff or
shortstop Cliff Pennington.
Pennington was given the day off this past Thursday, breaking up a string of
92 consecutive starts dating back to last season. He entered Thursday in an 0-
for-15 skid, having seen his batting average drop from .272 to .156 over a 20-
game span.
His counterpart on the left side of the infield, Kouzmanoff, has endured
similar struggles. Through the first seven games of the team's 10-game road
trip, Kouzmanoff is hitting just .111 (3-for-27).
Manager Bob Geren downplayed Kouzmanoff's hitting, though he did drop him from
fourth to sixth in the lineup for Monday's game.
"He's hit balls pretty good," Geren said. "Just no luck. Sometimes when you
look at one week or a span of 10 days, the numbers don't exactly indicate how
well they're swinging the bat."
<< Serbia coach Antic makes Brkic final cut
Belgrade, Serbia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Goalkeeper Zeljko Brkic was the final man
cut from Serbia's World Cup roster Tuesday.
Coach Radomir Antic previously trimmed his preliminary team to 24 players and,
with four goalkeepers, was likely to tr
<< Greece includes injured duo on Cup team
Athens, Greece (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Greece coach Otto Rehhagel included injured
duo Christos Patsatzoglou and Giourkas Seitaridis on his final 23-man team for
the World Cup on Tuesday.
Patsatzoglou missed most of World Cup qualifying and Seit
<< Japan includes Nakamura on final roster
Tokyo, Japan (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Japan coach Takeshi Okada trimmed his World
Cup squad to 23 players Tuesday and injured veteran Shunsuke Nakamura survived
the cut as expected.
Nakamura missed Sunday's friendly against fellow World Cup qu
<< Bryant has a chance to stamp his legacy
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It took longer than he had hoped but by
finally stepping out of Shaquille O'Neal's enormous shadow last season, many
felt Los Angeles Lakers superstar Kobe Bryant put the final stamp on a
brilliant basketball
<< Slovakia includes injured trio in final roster
Bratislava, Slovakia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Slovakia coach Vladimir Weiss included
injured trio Filip Holosko, Martin Skrtel and Robert Vittek on his 23-man team
for the World Cup on Tuesday.
Skrtel, who plays for Liverpool, is recovering from
Ivory Coast includes six forwards on Cup team >>
Gstaad, Switzerland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ivory Coast coach Sven-Goran Eriksson
included six forwards on his final World Cup roster Tuesday, a group led by
Chelsea's Didier Drogba.
Salomon Kalou, Aruna Dindane, Seydou Doumbia, Gervinho an
Lidstrom coming back for another season >>
Detroit, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Detroit Red Wings defenseman Nicklas Lidstrom
is set to return for the 2010-11 season.
Lidstrom's contract expired at the conclusion of this past season and the Red
Wings' website said the 40-year-old vetera
Mauer continues to lead AL All-Star balloting >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Minnesota Twins catcher Joe Mauer is the
top vote-getter after the second set of American League All-Star
balloting results.
The reigning American League Most Valuable Player has drawn 1
Nigeria's Anichebe cut due to injury >>
London, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nigeria striker Victor Anichebe was left
off the team's World Cup roster due to an injury, it was announced Tuesday.
Anichebe, who plays for Everton in the English Premier League, was a notable
omissio
Slovenia makes final roster cuts >>
Ljubljana, Slovenia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Slovenia coach Matjaz Kek trimmed his
World Cup roster to 23 players Tuesday, making Dejan Kelhar, Darjan Matic and
Mirnes Sisic the final three cuts.
Matjaz previously trimmed his 30-man preliminary
NFL Football Betting Online
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
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